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2023 Farmers Insurance Open odds, picks, field: Surprising PGA predictions from a model locked in 8 majors

The 2023 Farmers Insurance Open will offer golf fans some star-studded breakouts over the first two days. Jon Rahm, who has won his past two starts at Torrey Pines on Wednesday, Jan. 25, will join Tony Finau and Justin Thomas. Ram won the event in 2017 and is runner-up in 2020. Elsewhere at the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open, two-time major champion Colin Morikawa will be paired with Max Homa and Will Zaratoris, the runner-up — according to the latest 2023 Farmers Insurance Open. Insurance Open odds, with Rahm entering this week’s event 4-1 as title favorites. He’s followed by Xander Schauffele (12-1), Morikawa (12-1), Finau (12-1) and Thomas (13-1) on the PGA odds list. Before you lock in any 2023 Farmers Insurance Open picks, be sure to check out SportsLine’s proven computer modeled golf forecasts and projected leaderboards.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model’s best bet since its reboot has risen by more than $9,000, winning race after race.

McClure’s model predicts Jon Rahm at the top of the 2023 Sentinel Championship and Amex’s leaderboard. The model also includes JT Poston’s top pick to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet came to +5500, and McClure’s best bet of the entire tournament returned nearly $1,100. McClure’s model runs through Scotty Scheffler’s first career major title heading into the weekend at the 2022 Masters.

Additionally, McClure’s best bets include Colin Morikawa’s outright win at the 2021 British Open, though he’s listed as a huge 40-1 long shot. The model can also be seen everywhere as Jon Rahm (10-1) wins his first career major title at the 2021 US Open. Rahm was two strokes behind the leaders going into the weekend, but the model still predicted him to be the winner.

Heading into the weekend, the same model also claimed a staggering eight majors. Anyone paying attention to it has seen huge returns.

Now that the venue for the 2023 Nongbao Open has been locked, SportsLine simulated the match 10,000 times and the results are astonishing. Head over to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

2023 Farmers Insurance Open Best Prediction

The model calls for a major surprise at the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open: Go Morikawa The two-time PGA Tour champion and one of the favourites, with a record of 12-1, stumbled this week and barely squeezed into the top 10. Despite a final-round 72, Morikawa finished runner-up in the Sentry Championship.

However, Morikawa’s putting performance this season has been extremely inconsistent. In fact, Morikawa entered the week 114th in strokes achieved: 133rd in putts (-.056), 133rd in one-putt percentage (38.19%), and overall putt average ( 1.642) ranked 168th. He ranks 214th on the PGA Tour in approach distance of 75-100 yards. He’s not a strong option to win everything and is a better value in the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open field.

Another surprise: 22-1 long shot Max Homa in the title. His chances of winning it all are much better than his odds suggest, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a big payday.

Homa came into this week’s game with a very good drive, averaging 305.7 yards per drive this season. Homa’s ability to get the ball deep into the fairway allowed him to approach the green with short irons. That lethal combination has helped him hit 73.61 percent of his greens in regulation this season. The 32-year-old also ranks sixth in birdie average (5.31), which helped him win the Fortinet Championship earlier this season. Homa is one of the top value picks that should grab your attention this week in the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open. See who else is available here.

How to Make 2023 Farmers Insurance Open Picks

This model also targets three other golf balls with odds of 20-1 or better Hands down, they’ll make surprising runs, including a huge 85-1 long shot. Anyone who embraces these visions is likely to be successful. You can only see the model’s PGA picks here.

So who will win the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open? Which long shots shocked the golf world? Check out the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 Farmers Insurance Open leaderboard, all from models that have won eight golf majors, including last year’s Masters.

2023 Farmers Insurance Open odds, games

Check out the full Farmers Insurance Open 2023 here Draft picks, best bets and predictions.

Jon Rahm +400

Zander Schauffele +1200
Collin Morikawa +1200Tony Finau +1200

Justin Thomas +1300

Will Zalatoris +1400
Sungjae Im +2000

Max Homa +2200
Taylor Montgomery +2600

Jason Dai +2700
Hideki Matsuyama +3100
Si Woo Kim +3300
Sahith Theegala +4200

Maverick Mcnealy +4200

Cameron Davis +4500

JJ Spann +5000

Justin Rose +5000
Keegan Bradley +5000
Harris English +6000

Scott Stallings +6500
Hayden Buckley +7000
Luke Lister +7500
Alex Smalley +7500
Taylor Pendrith +8500

Wyndham Clark +9500

Adam Hadwin +9500

Davis Thompson+9500
Kurt Beishan+9500

Ryan Palmer+10000

Gary Woodland+10000
Ricky Fowler+10000

Adam Sven Sen+10000

Thomas Detri+10000
Davis Riley +11000 Patrick Rogers +11000
Will Gordon +11000 Emiliano Grillo +11000
Robbie Shelton+11000

Cameron Champ +12000

Dean Burmester +12000

Special Ray Mullinax +120 00

Carson Young +12000

Nick Hardy + 14000
SH Kim +14000
Aaron Rai + 15000
Ben Taylor + 15000
Charlie Hoffman +15000
Byeong Hun An +15000

Ben Griffin +15000

Garrick Higger +15000

Sebastian Muñoz+15000
Yu Kevin +15000

Matthew NeSmith +15000

Lanto Griffin +16000

Stephan Jaeger +16000
Sam Ryder +16000
Beau Hossler +16000
Brendan Steele +17000

Matthias Schmid +19000

Justin Suh +19000
Callum Tarren +19000

Lee Hodges +20000Patton Kizzire +20000



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