Please Note: This forecast was sponsored by The Hollywood Reporter for the awards Columnist Scott Feinberg reflects on his best attempt at predicting the behavior of the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences, not his personal preference. He bases these rankings on consultations with voters and strategists, analysis of marketing and events, previous Emmy awards results and the history of the Emmys themselves.
*BEST DRAMA SERIES
Prospective nominees
Succession (HBO/Max)
White Lotus: Sicily (HBO/Max)
The Last of Us (HBO/Max)
Better Call Saul(AMC)
Yellow Shirts (Show Time)
The Crown (Netflix)
Andorra (Disney+)
House of the Dragon (HBO/Max)
Spare
Diplomat (Netflix)
Potential surprise
The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
should become ContendaYellowstone (Paramount) *BEST COMEDY SERIES*
Prospective nominees
Abbott Elementary School (ABC)
Ted La So (Apple TV+)
Bear(FX)
Barry(HBO/Max)
Murder Building Only (Hulu)
Wednesday (Netflix)
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)
Zoom out (Apple TV+)
spare
Poker Face (Peacock)
Potential Surprise
we are at What to do in the shadows (FX)
should become Contenda
rehearse (HBO/Max)
*Best Limited or Anthology Series*
Prospective nominee
Beef (Netflix)
Dahmer—Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story(Netflix)Blackbird(Apple TV+)A Little Light(NatGeo) Daisy Jones and the Six (Amazon)
Alternate
White House Plumber(HBO/Max)
Potential surprise
tiny beauty (Hulu)
should become Contenda
George and Tammy (Showtime)
*BEST TV MOVIE
Prospective nominee
Strange: The Aryankovic Story (Roku Channel)
Prey(Hulu)
Fire Island(Hulu)REAL (HBO/Max) Dolly Parton’s Magical Christmas in the Mountains (NBC) — Podcast [Dolly Parton]
Spare
Reno (Comedy Central)
Potential surprise
Beavis and Ass Head Do Universe (Paramount+)
should become Contenda
Jerry and Maggie Grow Big (Paramount+)
*Best Variety Talk Series*
Expected nominees
Late Late Show With Stephen Colbert (CBS) — Podcast [Stephen Colbert]
The Daily Show with Trevor Noah (Comedy Central) – Podcast [Trevor Noah]
Jimmy Kimmel Live! (ABC)— Podcast [Jimmy Kimmel]
tiny beauty (Hulu)
George and Tammy (Showtime)
Reno (Comedy Central)
Beavis and Ass Head Do Universe (Paramount+)
Jerry and Maggie Grow Big (Paramount+)
Late Late Show With Stephen Colbert (CBS) — Podcast [Stephen Colbert]
The Daily Show with Trevor Noah (Comedy Central) – Podcast [Trevor Noah]
Jimmy Kimmel Live! (ABC)— Podcast [Jimmy Kimmel]
Late Night With Seth Meyers
(NBC) — Podcast [Seth Meyers]
Jon Stewart Questions (Apple TV+)
Spare )
Late Late Show James Corden (CBS) — Podcast [James Corden]
Potential surprise
Bill Maher’s Live Show (HBO/Max) — Podcast [Bill Maher]
should become Contenda
The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon
(NBC) — Podcast [Jimmy · Fallon]
*Best Scripted Variety Show Series*
Prospective nominee
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO/Max )
Saturday Night Live (NBC ) — Podcast [Lorne Michaels]
The Black Ladies Sketch Show (HBO/Max) – Podcast [Robin Tedder]
spare
Inside Amy Schumer (Paramount+) — Podcast [Amy Schumer]
Potential Surprise
HISTORICAL WORLD: PART II (Hulu)
SHOULD Become Contenda
Ziwe (Showtime)
*Best Variety Special Program (Live) *
Prospective nominees Super Bowl LVII halftime show on Apple Music starring Rihanna (Fox)
Chris Rock: Selective Rage (Netflix)
Oscar (ABC) — Podcast (Jimmy Kimmel)
this Annual Grammy Awards (CBS) — Podcast (Trevor Noah )
Elton John Live: Dodger Stadium Farewell (Disney+) — Podcast ( Elton John)
Spare
this 2nd Tony Awards (CBS)
Potential surprises
Apple Music Live: Ed Sheeran (Apple TV+)
should be Contanda
Taylor Hawkins Tribute Concert (Paramount+)
*Best Variety Special Program (pre-recorded)
Estimated nominees
John Mulaney: Baby J (Netflix) — podcast (John Mulaney)
James Corden Carpool Karaoke LATE LATE SHOW FINAL LATE LATE SPECIAL (CBS) — Podcast (James Corden)
Sarah Silverman : Someone You Love (HBO/Max) — Podcast
(Sarah Silverman)
Carol Burnett: Laughter + Years of Love (NBC) — Podcast(Carol Burnett)
Library of Congress Gershwin Award for Pop Song: Joni Mitchell (PBS)
Backup
Jon Stewart: Kennedy Center Mark Twain America Humor Award (PBS)
Potential Surprise
Hannah Gates Than: Something Special (Netflix) — Podcast (Hannah Gatsby)
should become Contenda
Norman Lear: Years of Music and Laughter ( ABC) — Podcast (Norman Lear)
*Best Documentary or Non-Fiction Series*
Expected nominees
(HBO/Max)
Harry & Meghan (Netflix)
America and the Holocaust (PBS) — Podcast [Ken Burns]
The Last Movie Star (HBO/Max) — Podcast [Ethan Hawke]
project ( Hulu)
Alternate Murdo Murders: A Scandal in the South ( Netflix)
Potential surprises
Full Swing ( Netflix)
should become Contenda
Dear Mama: The Legend of Affini and Tupac Shakur
(FX)
*Best Documentary or Non-Fiction Special*
this Annual Grammy Awards (CBS) — Podcast (Trevor Noah )
Elton John Live: Dodger Stadium Farewell (Disney+) — Podcast ( Elton John)
Spare
this 2nd Tony Awards (CBS)
Potential surprises
Apple Music Live: Ed Sheeran (Apple TV+)
should be Contanda
Taylor Hawkins Tribute Concert (Paramount+)
*Best Variety Special Program (pre-recorded)
Estimated nominees
John Mulaney: Baby J (Netflix) — podcast (John Mulaney)James Corden Carpool Karaoke LATE LATE SHOW FINAL LATE LATE SPECIAL (CBS) — Podcast (James Corden)
Sarah Silverman : Someone You Love (HBO/Max) — Podcast
(Sarah Silverman)
Carol Burnett: Laughter + Years of Love (NBC) — Podcast(Carol Burnett)
Library of Congress Gershwin Award for Pop Song: Joni Mitchell (PBS)
Backup
Jon Stewart: Kennedy Center Mark Twain America Humor Award (PBS)
Potential Surprise
Hannah Gates Than: Something Special (Netflix) — Podcast (Hannah Gatsby)
should become Contenda
Norman Lear: Years of Music and Laughter ( ABC) — Podcast (Norman Lear)
*Best Documentary or Non-Fiction Series*
Expected nominees
(HBO/Max)
Harry & Meghan (Netflix)
America and the Holocaust (PBS) — Podcast [Ken Burns]
The Last Movie Star (HBO/Max) — Podcast [Ethan Hawke]
project ( Hulu)
Alternate Murdo Murders: A Scandal in the South ( Netflix)
Potential surprises
Full Swing ( Netflix)
should become Contenda
Potential Surprise
Hannah Gates Than: Something Special (Netflix) — Podcast (Hannah Gatsby)
should become Contenda
Norman Lear: Years of Music and Laughter ( ABC) — Podcast (Norman Lear)
*Best Documentary or Non-Fiction Series*
Expected nominees
(HBO/Max)
America and the Holocaust (PBS) — Podcast [Ken Burns]
The Last Movie Star (HBO/Max) — Podcast [Ethan Hawke]
project ( Hulu)
Alternate Murdo Murders: A Scandal in the South ( Netflix)
Potential surprises
Full Swing ( Netflix)
should become Contenda
Prospective nominees
Still: Michael J. Fox Movies (Apple TV+ ) – podcast [ Davis Guggenheim]
Becomes Mary Taylor Moore (HBO/Max) Pamela: A Love Story (Netflix) Pretty Baby: Brooke Shields (Hulu) If these walls could sing (Disney+)
Spare
Forever Judy Bloom (Amazon)
potential Surprise
Selena Gomez: My Mind and Me (Apple TV+) — Podcast [Selena Gomez]
should become Contenda
Love you, Donna Summer (HBO/Max)
*Best Hosted Non-Fiction Series or Special*
Expected nominees
My next guest doesn’t need a David Letterman & Vladimir Zelensky introduction (Netflix) — podcast(David Letterman)
Stan Leigh Tucci: Finding Italy (CNN)
Vice(Showtime)
Somebody Feed Phil (Netflix)
“America’s One Color” by W. Kamau Bell (CNN)
Spare
Chris Hemsworth Unlimited (Disney+)
Potential Surprise
SmartLess: on the way (Max)
should become Contenda
Jay Leno’s Garage (CNBC) — Podcast (Jay Leno)
*BEST STRUCTURED REALITY PROGRAMMING*
Projected nominees
Queer Eye(Netflix) Shark Tank (ABC) — Podcast (Mark Cuban)
Love is blind (Netflix) Antique Roadshow (PBS)Couple Therapy (Showtime)
spare
RESTAURANTS, DRIVERS AND DIVES (FOOD)
Potential surprise
The Gentle Art of Swedish Death Cleaning (Peacock)
should be Contenda
what do you think Who are you? (NBC)
*BEST UNSTRUCTURED REALITY PROGRAM*
Prospective Nominators
RuPaul’s Drag Race: Unraveled
Love you, Donna Summer (HBO/Max)
My next guest doesn’t need a David Letterman & Vladimir Zelensky introduction (Netflix) — podcast(David Letterman)
Stan Leigh Tucci: Finding Italy (CNN)
Vice(Showtime)
Somebody Feed Phil (Netflix)
“America’s One Color” by W. Kamau Bell (CNN)
Chris Hemsworth Unlimited (Disney+)
SmartLess: on the way (Max)
Jay Leno’s Garage (CNBC) — Podcast (Jay Leno)
*BEST STRUCTURED REALITY PROGRAMMING*
Queer Eye(Netflix) Shark Tank (ABC) — Podcast (Mark Cuban)
Love is blind (Netflix) Antique Roadshow (PBS)Couple Therapy (Showtime)
(VH1) – podcast
(RuPaul)
Sell Sunset (Netflix)
Welcome to Wrexham (FX) — Podcast (Ryan Reynolds)
Indian Matchmaking (Netflix)
Vanderpump Rules (Bravo)
substitute
Deadliest Catch (Discovery)
Potential surprise
The Kardashians(Hulu ) — Podcast
(Kris Jenner)
should be a Contenda
My Unorthodox Life (Netflix)
*Best Reality Competition*
Expected nominees
RuPaul’s Drag Race (VH1) — Podcast (RuPaul)
Good Voice (NBC)
Speed (CBS)
Success! (Netflix)
Top Chef (Excellent)
Standby
The Circle (Netflix)
Potential Surprise Pickling(CBS)— Podcast (Stephen Colbert)
should become Contenda
American Ninja Warrior(NBC)
Deadliest Catch (Discovery)
The Kardashians(Hulu ) — Podcast
My Unorthodox Life (Netflix)
*Best Reality Competition*
RuPaul’s Drag Race (VH1) — Podcast (RuPaul)
Good Voice (NBC)
Speed (CBS)
Top Chef (Excellent)
American Ninja Warrior(NBC)
*Best Game Show
Expected nominees
Jeopardy ! (Syndicate)
the price is right (CBS)
Wheel of Fortune(joint)
family feud(Syndicate)
Let’s make a deal (CBS)
replaces That’s My Jam (NBC)
Potential surprise
Password (NBC)
should become Contenda
Weakest link (TK)
*Best Actor in a Drama Series*
Prospective nominees
Pedro Pascal ( The Last of Us )
Jeremy Strong ( inherits from ) — podcast
Bob Odenkirk ( Better Call Saul ) —podcast
Kieran Culkin(Succession)
Brian Cox( succeeds) — Podcast
Jeff Bridges (elder) – podcast
Jeff Bridges (elder) – podcast
Spare
Go Luna(Andor)
Potential Surprise
Paddy Kang Steyn (Dragon House )
should become Contenda
Kevin Costner(Yellowstone)
Best Actress in a Drama Series
Expected nominees
Sarah Snook (inherit) — podcast
Melanie Lynskey ( Yellow Jackets )
Bella Ramsay (The Last of Us )
Imelda Staunton(Crown)
Elizabeth Moss( The Handmaid’s Tale ) — podcast
Helen Mirren (
) — podcast
Spare
Kerry Russell(Diplomat) — Podcast
Potential surprises
Emma Darcy( Dragon House )
should become Contenda Juliette Lewis( Yellow Shirts )
*Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series *
Prospective nominees Matthew McFadden ( inherits )
Nicholas Braun ( succeeds
)
Giancarlo Esposito ( better call Saul
) — podcast
Emma Darcy( Dragon House )
Nicholas Braun ( succeeds
Giancarlo Esposito ( better call Saul
Jonathan Banks(Better Call Saul )
F. Murray Abraham ( White Lotus: Sicily ) — podcastAlan Rooker(inherited from)Alexander Skarsgard(inherited)
John Lithgow(Old man)
Spare
Michael Imperioli(White Lotus: Sicily)
Potential surprise
Matt Smith(Dragon House )
should become Contenda
Tom Holland ( White Lotus: Sicily )
*Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series*
Matt Smith(Dragon House )
Tom Holland ( White Lotus: Sicily )
*Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series*
Prospective Nominators
Jennifer Coolidge(White Lotus: Sicily)J. Smith-Cameron ( succeeds )
Rhea Seehorn ( Better Call Saul ) — podcastElizabeth Debicki(Crown) Christina Ricci ( Wong Shirt Army
)
Carol Burnett( Better call Saul ) — Podcast
Aubrey Plaza ( White Lotus: Sicily ) — podcast
Megan Fahy( White Lotus: Sicily )
Spare
Ann Dodd( The Handmaid’s Tale )
Potential surprises
Millie Alcock ( House of the Dragon )
should be Contenda
Hayley Lou Richardson (White Lotus: Sicily )
Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series*
Prospective nominees
James Cromwell(inherited
)
Nick Offerman(The Last of Us )
Murray Bartlett( The last survivor )
Ann Dee Serkis(Ando)
Giancarlo Esposito (The Mandalorian) — podcast
Bryan Cranston(Better Call Saul) — podcast
Ann Dee Serkis(Ando)
Giancarlo Esposito (The Mandalorian) — podcast
Bryan Cranston(Better Call Saul) — podcast
Primary Threat
Lamar Johnson ( The Last of Us )
Potential Surprise
Jon Gris ( White Lotus: Sicily )
should become Contenda
Paul Reiser ( the boys )
*Best Guest Actress in a Drama
ahead By
Anna Torv(The Last of Us )
Harry Ter Walter ( inherits )
Melanie Lynskey (The Last of Us)
Fiona Shaw ( Andor )
Shyam Abbas ( inherits )
Cherry Jones ( inherits from )
Major Threat
Storm Reed(The Last of Us)
Potential surprise
Claire Foy ( Crown )
should be a contender
Margot Martindale (
) Your Honor )
*Best Actor in a Comedy Series*
Expected nominees
Jason Sue Dyches (Ted Russo ) Jeremy Allen White (Bear) Bill Hader(Barry) — podcast
Steve Martin ( Murder in the building only )Martin Short(Only Murder in the Building )—podcast
Spare
Jason Segel (shrink) — podcast
POTENTIAL SURPRISE Donald Glover(Atlanta)
should become Contenda
Nathan Field(Rehearsal)
*Best Actress in a Comedy Series*
Expected nominees
Kun Ta Brunson ( Abbott Elementary School ) — podcast
Rachel Brosnahan(The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
) — podcast
Jenna Ortega (Wednesday)Selena Gomez(Building Only Murders) – podcast
Natasha Lyonne(poker face) – podcast
Spare
Elle Fanning ( great )— Podcast
Potential surprises Christina Applegate( Dead to me )
should become Contenda
Brigitte E. Fritter (someone somewhere )
*Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series*
Expected nominees
Taylor James Williams( Abbott Elementary School )
Brett Goldstein ( Ted Russo )
Henry Winkler ( Barry ) — podcastAnthony Carrigan(Barry)Tony Shalhoub( Amazing Mai Mrs. Searle ) — podcast
Ebony Moss – Barkrack (Bear)
Harrison Ford(Shrinkage)
Backup
Stephen Root(Barry)
Potential surprises James Marsden(JURY DUTY)
should become Contenda
Michael Zegan( The Marvelous Messer Mrs. Hall
)
Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series*
Prospective nominee
Stephen Root(Barry)
Michael Zegan( The Marvelous Messer Mrs. Hall
Hannah Waddingham ( Ted Russo )
Cheryl Lee Ralph ( Abbott Elementary School ) — podcast
Janelle James(Abbott Elementary School)Alex Borstein( )The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) — podcast
Ayo Edebiri (Bear)
Sarah Goldberg ( Barry )
Juno Temple(Ted Russo)
spare
Jessica Williams(shrunk)
Potential Surprise
Lisa Ann Walter ( Ted Russo )
should become Contenda
Molly Shannon ( the other two )
*Best Guest Actor in a Comedy Series*
Prospective nominees
Dave Chappelle( Week Six Nights Live )
Steve Martin and Martin Short ( Saturday Night Live) — Podcast (short )
Pedro Pascal(Saturday Night Live )
Leslie Odom Jr.( Abbott Elementary School ) — podcastOliver Platt(Bear)Nathan( Only murders in the building )
Substitute
Luke Kirby(The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)
Potential surprises
Brad Pitt(Dave)
should be a Contenda )Adrien Brody(Poker Face)
*Best Guest Actress in a Comedy*
Prospective nominee
Taraji P. Henson ( Abbott Elementary School ) — podcast
Quinta Brunson (Saturday Night Live) – podcast
Sarah Niles(Ted Russo )
Catherine Zeta-Jones (Wednesday)
Shirley MacLaine ( Only Murder in the Building ) — podcast
Sarah Goldberg ( Barry )
Juno Temple(Ted Russo)
Jessica Williams(shrunk)
Lisa Ann Walter ( Ted Russo )
Dave Chappelle( Week Six Nights Live )
Pedro Pascal(Saturday Night Live )
Leslie Odom Jr.( Abbott Elementary School ) — podcastOliver Platt(Bear)Nathan( Only murders in the building )
Quinta Brunson (Saturday Night Live) – podcast
Sarah Niles(Ted Russo )
Catherine Zeta-Jones (Wednesday)
Harriet Walter(Ted Russo)
Spare Ayo Edebiri (Abbott Primary School
)
Potential surprises
Rachel McAdams(Dave)
should become Contenda
JENNA ORTEGA (Saturday Night Live)
*Best Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology or TV Movie*
Prospective NominatorsEvan Peters( Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story )
Taron Egerton(Blackbird) – podcastSteven Yuan(Beef ) — podcast
Daniel Radcliffe(Strange: The Al Yankovic Story)
Steve Carell(Patient) — podcastMichael Shannon(George and Tammy) —podcast
Spare
Sam Claflin ( Daisy Jones and the Six )
Potential surprises
Joe Cole(A Little Light)
should become Contenda
Ben Whishaw(this will hurt)
*Best Actress in a Limited Series or Anthology Series or TV Movie*
Prospective nominees
Ali Huang(Beef)1000612274485
Jessica Chastain ( George & Tammy ) — 1000605106382podcast
Katherine Hahn ( beautiful little things ) — 1000570438959podcast
Rachel Weisz(Dead Ringers )
Ali Huang(Beef)1000612274485
Jessica Chastain ( George & Tammy ) — 1000605106382podcast
Katherine Hahn ( beautiful little things ) — 1000570438959podcast
Rachel Weisz(Dead Ringers )
Bell Polley(A Little Light) Riley Keough(Daisy Jones and the Six)
Spare
Emily Blunt(British)
Potential surprises
Sydney Sweeney(Reality) — podcast
should become Contenda
Dominic Fishback(Swarm)
*Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology or TV Movie*
Prospective Nominators
Paul Walter Hauser(
Blackbird) – 1000576584050podcast
Richard Jenkins( Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)
Domhnall Gleeson( )Patient)
Ray Liotta( )Blackbird) – 1000570438959 podcast
Greg · Kinnear(Blackbird)
Rodney Burford Jr. ( Dahmer – The Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story ) Timothy Oliphant(Daisy Jones and the Six)
Backup
Justin Theroux(White House Plumbing Work )
Potential surprises
Yang Bowen(Fire Island)
should become Contenda
Young Mazzino(Beef)
*Best Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or TV Movie*
Prospective nominees
Nicey Nash-Bates( Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story )Claire Dennis(Fleishman in trouble)—1000570438959 Podcast
Merritt Wey F(Tiny Beautiful Thing)
Lily Rabe (Love and Death) Suki Waterhouse (Daisy Jones and the Six ) Camila Morrow(Daisy Jones and the Six
)
Molly Ringwald(da Mer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story )
Alternate
Maria Bay Lo(Beef)
Potential surprise
Lena Headey( White House Plumber )
should Be Contenda
Harriet Walter( This will hurt )1000570438959
