Topline
Parts of Texas’ south coast are bracing for tropical storm conditions, with a low pressure area in the Gulf of Mexico likely Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning Bringing flooding prepares to be the first tropical storm in the Atlantic Basin since July 3.
Potential Tropical Cyclone Four churning near Gulf of Mexico , because it is near … [+] Rio Grande de river.
NOAA
Key Facts
Texas from Port Mansfield to the mouth of the Rio Grande and Mexico south from the mouth to Boca de Catan
Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft scheduled Saturday morning to investigate the tropical disturbance, currently known as Potential Tropical Cyclone Four, See if it has formed the closed circulation needed for tropical storm classification.
According to the National Hurricane Center, the system is located south-southeast of the mouth of the Rio Grande About 200 miles south, maximum sustained winds were 35 mph.
It is expected to make landfall as a weak tropical storm sometime in the late afternoon or early evening on Saturday, Most likely to move extremely inland in northeastern Mexico, south of the Rio Rio Grande.
If organized to strengthen, the system will be named Tropical Storm Danielle.
Key background
Despite repeated Calling for 2022 to be one of the most active seasons on record, tropical activity has been on hold for nearly seven weeks. However, computer models suggest significant changes will occur in the coming weeks, with the Atlantic Basin greatly affected as the season enters its most active period on record. Conditions will turn favorable in some areas.
Notes
The National Hurricane Center is also monitoring a easterly wave moving off the coast of Africa, which may experience some “gradual development” in The next week or so. Forecasters see a 20 percent chance of the system developing over the next five days.
Further reading
Hurricane activity could soar in weeks after July, forecasters say calm (Forbes)
Tropical threat fades as surprisingly quiet hurricane season nears peak (Forbes)
