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USD/JPY extends recovery above 136.60 as investors turn to safety ahead of Jackson Hole incident

  • USD/JPY has firmly breached the immediate barrier of 136.60 as DXY rose.
  • The Fed will continue to accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes.
  • To move to a neutral stance, the BOJ also needs to raise wage rates in line with price pressures.
The USD/JPY pair has broken above the Tokyo session at 136.40 -136.56 narrow range consolidation. The asset extended gains after breaking the immediate 136.60 mark as investors turned back to the U.S. dollar index (DXY) ahead of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.

Market participants are turning to risk aversion amid uncertainty over comments by the leaders of the Jackson Hole global think tank. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is still set to flash the traffic lights, as investors will get realistic clues on possible monetary policy action at the U.S. central bank’s September monetary policy meeting.

The Fed is likely to stick to its aggressive rate hike strategy as inflation remains above the staggering 8%. There is no doubt that Fed policymakers have evidence that price pressures are almost exhausted, but the whole inflation problem needs to be addressed soon. Therefore, more rate hikes will be discussed at the expense of a further slowdown in U.S. economic activity. Well, these are the consequences investors have had to experience due to the Fed’s slow response to rising inflationary pressures.

On Tokyo, as the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will stick to its prudent policy, the yen will rise even if inflation hits 3% fell further. The Bank of Japan’s prudent stance stems not only from subdued inflation, but also from a stagnant labor cost index. The Bank of Japan’s neutral stance could accelerate the economy’s troubles as it fails to raise wage rates.

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