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Week 13 NFL picks: Bills tackle Patriots on Thursday night; Bengals win 3rd straight win over Chiefs

Published: December 1, 2022 at 12:55pm

Gregg Rosenthal soars 10-6 in Week 12 draft, bringing his season total to 109-70-1. How did he fare in Week 13? His options are as follows.
Caesars Sportsbook offers lines as of Thursday, Dec. 1 at 1pm ET unless otherwise noted below.


New England Patriots

Location: Kyrgyzstan Column Stadium (Foxborough, MA) Time: 8:15 PM ET | Prime Video, NFL+

    MONEYLINE: BILL: -190 | PATRIOT: + 158
Spread: Bill -3.5 | O/U: 43.5

This New England team is confusing. The Patriots started the year on a wild run, one of the worst runs in the NFL since Week 6. Their defensive numbers are ridiculously high, but that’s because they dominated smaller quarterbacks. Faced with a good quarterback, they gave up big moves. The last time they played against Josh Allen, they couldn’t force a bet. Not having Von Miller should help McJones feel more comfortable, but the Bills have more answers on both sides.

New England PatriotsNew England Patriots

  • Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)
  • when : 1 PM EST | CBS


      • spread: Steelers-1 | O/U: 42

        Steelers are 2 according to Football Outsiders , -1 for the NFL’s ninth offensive bye since that time. The defense has stabilized. The Falcons are as consistent as any team in football: able to play against almost anyone and unable to get consistent stops on defense. Both teams play late possession games, but Pittsburgh’s quarterback and defense are more reliable here.

      Chicago Bears
    • Location: M&T Bank Stadium (Baltimore)
    • TIME: 1PM ET | CBSMONEYLINE: Broncos: +310 | Ravens: -400

    • Chicago Bears
    • Place:
    • time: 1PM ET | FOX

    • MONEYLINE: Packers: -210 | Bear market: +175
        Spread: Packers -4.5 | O/U: 42.5Atlanta Falcons

        The Packers offense quietly fixed a lot of their problems last month, just in time for the defense to go downhill. Christian Watson brought explosiveness to the team, and the offensive line stabilized. According to PFF, that’s good news for the last dead defense in the EPA since trading Roquan Smith and Robert Quinn. Even with Justin Fields starting, I’m comfortable picking Green Bay.

    • 22-21

      New England Patriots

          Location: Ford Field (Detroit)

        Time: 1pm EST | Fox

      • MONEYLINE: Jaguar: -115 | Lion: -105
          spread: Lions +1 | O/U: 51.5

        This 4-7 team should be better than their record and have to face each other when they get to the top. An early-season weakness turned into a strength, with Trevor Lawrence throwing super-accurate passes and the Lions’ defense competing week in and week out. Both teams improved to average, with Detroit’s rebuild going further than Jacksonville’s. It’s a toss up, but it’s disrespectful for the Lions to be home underdogs, and I had to fight back.

          • Location: NRG Stadium (Houston)

        • Spread: Texans +7 | O/U: 47

          Deshaun Watson has been incredibly disappointing not only because of his off-field behavior Cost him nearly two seasons of his career, and for failing to show public remorse after being suspended for 11 games. Unless things change, my favorite team is the one that plays the Browns. How Watson responds to his new polarized status and media scrutiny will inform how his season plays out. On the field Sunday, Watson mostly just had to hand the ball to Nick Chubb to deal with the poor Texans run defense. Don’t be shocked if it comes close, because Watson will be as rusty as he was in his short, miserable preseason.

        • 24-20

          New England PatriotsNew England Patriots

          Place: U.S. Bank Stadium (Minneapolis)
        • when: 1 PM ET | CBS
        • MONEYLINE:
        • New England Patriots

            Where: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ)WHEN: 1PM ET | FOX

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